G3 – Strong geomagnetic storm forecast following Earth-directed CME produced by M8.1 solar flare

A G3 – Strong geomagnetic storm watch is in effect following a powerful M8.1 solar flare from geoeffective Active Region 4299 at 20:39 UTC on December 6, 2025. The resulting full-halo coronal mass ejection (CME) is expected to impact Earth between early and midday UTC on December 9, possibly producing periods of strong geomagnetic storming.

CME produced by M8.1 solar flare on December 6, 2025. Credit: NASA/SDO, NASA/ESA LASCO C2 and C3, Helioviewer, The Watchers

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC) issued the G3 – Strong Geomagnetic Storm Watch at 04:43 UTC on December 7.

The forecast covers December 8–10, with G1 – Minor storming predicted on December 8, G3 – Strong on December 9, and G1 – Minor again on December 10. This watch supersedes all prior alerts in effect.

The warning follows an M8.1 solar flare that erupted from Active Region 4299, located near the center of the solar disk, at 20:39 UTC on December 6. The event produced a full-halo CME, indicating an Earth-directed trajectory.

NOAA’s WSA–ENLIL CME model, initialized at 22:00 UTC, shows the CME impacting Earth’s magnetosphere between early and midday UTC on December 9, likely triggering G3 – Strong geomagnetic storming.

M8.1 solar flare on December 6, 2025. Credit: NASA/SDO, Helioviewer, The Watchers Image credit: NASA/ESA LASCO C3 Image credit: SWPC The affected geomagnetic latitude is expected to be poleward of 50°, where storm-induced disturbances may cause voltage fluctuations in power networks and false triggers in protection systems.

Low-Earth orbit satellites may experience increased drag and surface charging, while navigation systems (GPS) could encounter intermittent signal degradation or temporary loss of lock. HF radio propagation may also become irregular during peak activity.

Auroral activity is expected to intensify significantly during the storm’s main phase on December 9, with possible visibility extending as far south as Pennsylvania, Iowa, and Oregon under clear skies.

SWPC forecasts a 70% chance of additional M-class and 15% chance of X-class flares through December 8.

Author profile

Teo Blašković

I’m a dedicated researcher, journalist, and editor at The Watchers. With over 20 years of experience in the media industry, I specialize in hard science news, focusing on extreme weather, seismic and volcanic activity, space weather, and astronomy, including near-Earth objects and planetary defense strategies. You can reach me at teo /at/ watchers.news.

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